Random Variables as Measurable Functions

We usually picture a random variable as "a number that depends on chance". Rigorously, on a probability space (\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P}), a random variable is a function

X : \Omega \to \mathbb{R}

that is measurable: for every Borel set B \subseteq \mathbb{R}, the preimage

X^{-1}(B) = \{\,\omega \in \Omega : X(\omega) \in B\,\} \in \mathcal{F}.

Equivalently — and this is the version you will use constantly — it is enough that \{X \le x\} \in \mathcal{F} for every x \in \mathbb{R}.

Why measurability is the whole point

Measurability is not red tape — it is exactly what lets us assign a probability to statements about X. The event "X is at most x" is the set \{X \le x\} = X^{-1}\big((-\infty, x]\big). If that set lives in \mathcal{F}, then \mathbb{P} can speak about it, and we may define

F_X(x) = \mathbb{P}(X \le x).

Without measurability the preimage might not be an event at all, and \mathbb{P}(X \le x) would be meaningless. So measurability is the bridge that carries probability from the abstract space \Omega over to the real line where we actually compute.

A random variable as a map

Let X be the sum of two dice, so X : \Omega \to \{2, 3, \dots, 12\}. Each outcome \omega on the left is carried by an arrow to its value X(\omega) on the number line. Choose a target value below: the diagram highlights the preimage — the set of outcomes mapping there — which is an event in \mathcal{F}. For example X^{-1}(\{7\}) = \{(1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1)\}.